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VIX 16.39Daily close · Oct 1
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Market video / October 13, 2026

MCD: R squared measures historical fit, not next trade odds #MCD #Regression #TradingStatistics

Public market preparation from Hollow Point Trading: context, levels and risk-first execution education.

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Source · context · decisionHPT FIELD GUIDE
HOLLOW POINT TRADING MARKET BRIEF

What this market video covers

R squared is not the probability that the next trade wins. This historical McDonald's IEX example fits twenty completed five minute closes from October eighth, twenty twenty six. We use ordinary least squares with an intercept and interval numbers from zero through nineteen. Total squared variation measures each close against the sample mean. Residual square

Use this analysis as general education. Confirm current prices and conditions independently, define invalidation before entry, and size every position for the loss you can actually tolerate.